Episode 13

Coronavirus by the numbers. Insights of a data analyst

00:00:00
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00:52:11

March 25th, 2020

52 mins 11 secs

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About this Episode

Chris Vaccaro is a data analyst who evaluates data for companies and university researchers, then finds trends to help make predictions and guide decisions. We discuss coronavirus data from around the world, and what we can expect based on data analysis.

  • What does a data analyst do exactly?

  • Measures that governments are taking to fight coronavirus are really bottom up, the people are demanding strict measures, and the governments around the world are responding to that demand.

  • How COVID-19 is spreading, starting in large metropolitan areas with large international airports, then spreading out into the suburbs and beyond.

  • The attitude of people and how much precaution populations are taking is related to the population density. The denser the population the more seriously people are taking prevention measures.

  • More densely populated areas are more likely liberal leaning compared to rural areas that tend to lean more conservative. This has also impacted how we have been able to come together as a country. This is leading to mistrust in government on both sides.

  • It seems that Coronavirus has to hit close enough at home for people to realize the gravity of the situation and make changes themselves.

  • What seems like a large number of new daily cases today, will seem small in the future if the rate of infection continues like it has. It’s very likely we would see tens or hundreds of thousands (or even more) new daily cases if measures are not continued and even expanded to control the spread of disease.

  • Case fatality rates, number of deaths per number of infections, have actually increased significantly in many modern countries as time has gone on. In Italy the ‘known’ case fatality rate has been approaching 10%.

  • The risk is currently greater than people actually appreciate, especially if you consider their important groups like a family. If an entire family of four is infected (e.g. father 50, mother 40, and two teens), based on currently published death rates by age, 2.1 % of families (1 out of every 50) would lose 1 of their direct family members.

  • Companies are rushing to meet the ventilator and other needs, Ford is working on making a ventilator from existing F150 parts, other businesses are looking for innovations to help solve our ventilator crisis.

  • Even though this is a terrible crisis, it does appear that in many ways that many people are coming together and acting more compassionate and caring to each other.

  • Why the CDC says masks are not effective, and why people probably don’t believe what they are saying. The CDC Is actually correct but not for the reason people think.

  • Why are many Asian countries (excluding china) experiences with coronavirus so different than the USA.

  • Singapore's tracking system, and why we could currently not do the same in the United States due to patient privacy laws.

  • Will our experience with coronavirus make people feel and act with a greater sense of social responsibility to look out for each other.

  • Many Asian countries were more prepared to handle a disease like COVID, because they had recent previous experience with similar diseases such as SARS and MERS.

  • Technology in helping to curb disease spread. Is there any way to do this since we really can’t trust the government.

  • Keep an eye on Spain, we will learn a lot from what happens there.

If you have questions, information, or have unique insights you can discuss with us on the podcast - please email covid@gilmanwolsey.com